Transfer Portal

"They can transfer elsewhere as a scholarship player or as a walk-on. Although they can withdraw from the portal at any time, the team they intended to leave is not required to take them back or keep them on scholarship."

So I kid is risking a full ride in hopes someone will take him. Dang.

This is behind a pay wall. 

Lane Kiffin complaining about NIL and college free agency is pretty ironic. 

A lot of back channel dealings have been brought to the forefront and made clearer, sure. Kids no longer in the future game-plan get a chance to upgrade their playing opportunities at typically smaller schools.
(A former player of mine wasn't getting time at his SEC school, so went thru the portal and landed at a MAC school where he excels) 

But yes, bulldogsdc a LOT of kids are risking a full ride for the hope of getting picked up elsewhere

What's even scarier, looking to the future, is how this is going to impact the big recruits. Ewers getting draft pick money to go to Texas is just the start. 
Rich boosters no longer have to hide money thru relatives (reggie bush, cam newton, etc). They can now make open, legal business offers to entice these kids.

A buddy in the industry says speculation is a starting QB will pull $3-5mil a year. Where things go from there I have no idea, but it will move there very quickly

I think it is important to consider the following when discussing this issue. Imagine yourself as a parent of one of these kids in your current situation...Are you telling your son not to take a NIL deal? If some money is moving from a rich mans bank account to this poor teacher's kid's account... My kid is taking the deal and the free education.

Education has little if anything to do with it.

Also - what if the kid who transfers thru portal doesn't play to his satisfaction for whatever reason?

And, what about the kids who were recruited to that school that a transfer kid comes in and immediately plays ahead of?

It's not the former 4 and 5 star guys that I'm thinking about. I doubt that Tulsa or Ball State has any. The guys I'm thinking about are guys who were 2 or 3 star recruits, went to a lower tier school, and developed to the point that they play like 4/5 stars. 

Can you tell me how this is terribly different than the last 60-70 years of college football though?  
AP Top 10 schools from various years  1957 1965 1973 1981
1. Auburn 2. Ohio State. 3. Michigan State. 4. Oklahoma. 5. Navy. 6. Iowa. 7. Ole Miss. 8. Rice 9. Tex A&M 10. Notre Dame
1. Alabama. 2. Michigan State  3. Arkansas. 4.UCLA 5. Nebraska 6. Missouri 7. Tennesse 8. LSU 9. Notre Dame 10. USC. 
1. Notre Dame. 2. Ohio State 3. Oklahoma 4. Alabama 5. Penn State. 6. Michigan 7. Nebraska. 8. USC. 9. Arizona State. 10. Houston/Tex Tech
1. Clemson. 2. Texas. 3. Penn State. 4. Pitt. 5. SMU 6. UGA. 7. Alabama. 8. Miama (Fla) 9. UNC 10. Washington. 
1. Florida State 2. Notre Dame. 3. Nebraska. 4. Auburn. 5. Florida. 6. Wisconsin. 7. West Virginia 8. Penn State. 9. A&M 10. Arizona
1. Ohio State. 2. Miami (Fla) 3. UGA. 4. USC. 5. Oklahoma. 6. Texas. 7. Kansas State. 8. Iowa. 9. Michigan. 10. Washington State

The years were 1957, 1965, 1973, 1981, 1993, 2002. 

The names I see on these lists...are probably going to be the names we see on future lists.


 

I don't know.  I agree it seems likely, BUT as I mentioned, it isn't really that different than what has been happening the last 60+ years of college football.  Hell, the last five years, its Bama, OSU, Oklahoma, Clemson, and UGA.   Plus, one of the top recruits in the nation just choose an HBCU. 

I will say that I honestly don't have a problem with it.  At least not as much of a problem as I have with Dabo Sweeney and Lane Kiffin whining about it.   

In the current college football environment, the University of Miami/boosters just paid $8+million to buy out Manny Diaz, then another $8+ million to pay off Christobal's buyout clause, and then another $8 Million to pay Christoball.  Scott Woodward just paid Ed Orgeron $16 million to not coach, and Brian Kelley $9+million a year.  These middle aged men are part of a professional sports organization.  I have no problem with the players being compensated as they are.  

For those that want to go back to amateurism (I am one of them), then I say pay Kelly, Saban, Sweeney, Jimbo and the rest $150,000-$200,000 a year.  Pay the ADs $110,000.  Funnel all the revenue  BACK into the university.   If those guys want more, hey, I bet the Jaguars job is opening up soon. 

When players, by policy, were not allowed to be compensated? 
Although, amateur isn't really the best word for my thoughts.  I would rephrase it "For those who want to go back to paradigm where once a player signed his NLI, the schools held almost all of the "power"' ... That is a bit better way to put it. 

My point is that those crying that things such as the transfer portal and NLI are "ruining the game" are simply exhibiting hypocrisy at a world class level. It isn't a game, not for those who are whining.  It is a multi-billion dollar business. Period.  And as with any labor/management situation when labor gets some concessions, management gripes.  In this case, management is griping because they don't want to struggle with additional labor freedoms. 

Is that last scenario any different than the if a newly recruited kid comes in and immediately plays in front of a previously recruited kid?

My biggest issue is coaches complaining that it is “like the wild west” or “absolute chaos” and yet in the span of like 2 weeks :
-Lincoln Riley Announced in a press conference that USC would be the mecca of collge football a few weeks after telling his OU players the same thing.
-Brian Kelly left ND while the Irish were just an Iowa or UGA win from likely competing in the CFP ( I was rooting for that all Championship weekend)
-Mario Cristobal was being actively pursued by Miami before they fired Manny Diaz.

The coaches and athletic directors move freely at anytime to “do whats best for family” yet when others want the same- it is “chaos”.

Make no mistake: I’m not saying that the transfer portal or NIL is a bad thing. I’m just saying it’s different and will change things more than people realize. IMO, the players who make these universities hundreds of millions of dollars, enable their coaches to earn multi-million dollar salaries, and are recruited to the school specifically for that purpose deserve a slice of the pie.

I’m just saying this is going to alter the way things work at that level more than people realize. It also might not always favor the traditional powers if someone comes along to bankroll a winner. Travis Hunter signed with Jackson St. over FSU because he was reportedly given a $1 million NIL deal. Deion Sanders’ own “resources” and the promise of similar NIL deals are said to be the main reason why so many Power 5 players transferred in to play for him at an FCS HBCU last year, creating a stacked NC contender overnight.

In light of that, I can also see NIL actually shaking the lower levels of NCAA football even more than the conventional wisdom would suggest. All the focus now is on the big money of the FBS, but if a big booster or two comes along at a lower level school they can become “elite” at a fraction of the cost as long the checks clear. That could set off a domino effect where competing schools who are already struggling and losing money just fold up their programs or go the non-scholarship route to save money.

If they are interested in spreading the wealth so to speak, add in the walk on factor, the next step, and I do believe this is coming, is reduction in scholarships. I do think cfb is realigning in a very large way, even if it glacier slow.