Post by cqmiller on Sept 14, 2023 22:52:35 GMT -6
Anyone else besides me trying to figure out how the onside kick makes sense at the end?
1st down beats you in both.
You get ball with about 10s left in both.
Deep KO you get punt near midfield with a catchable Hail Mary to win. (9% odds on HM according to stats the past few years).
Onside kick is about 5% chance.
Getting ball at -25ish after the kick you have to not only catch the hail Mary, but then advance it into endzone, so way less than the 9% chance)
Only thing I can see is if coach decides 0% chance to stop them on 3 runs straight...
1st down beats you in both.
You get ball with about 10s left in both.
Deep KO you get punt near midfield with a catchable Hail Mary to win. (9% odds on HM according to stats the past few years).
Onside kick is about 5% chance.
Getting ball at -25ish after the kick you have to not only catch the hail Mary, but then advance it into endzone, so way less than the 9% chance)
Only thing I can see is if coach decides 0% chance to stop them on 3 runs straight...
