Post by windigo on Jun 26, 2015 9:59:08 GMT -6
One of my favorite forensic statisticians has taken a look at the wells report and I have to say he does a very good job blowing it up.
www.climateaudit.info/data/football/mcintyre_analysis_of_wells_report.pdf
climateaudit.org/2015/06/23/deflategate-and-errors-in-the-wells-report/
One thing that really stood out to me is that the refs only checked 4 colts balls while checking all 11 patriots balls. The wells report assumed that they checked the Colts balls first but admitted that this was uncertain. That they checked all the patriots balls yet only 4 colts balls suggest that they checked the patriots balls first and ran out of time to check all the colts balls and that the Wells report's assumption about which team was checked first is wrong. This greatly effects the amout of time the colts balls had to warm up increasing their pressure.
Another good point is that the report admits that more than one gauge was used to check the balls at half, each with their own bias, but assumes that only one gauge was used pregame. If we know that more than one gauge was used at half how can we just assume that only one gauge was used pregame? How exactly does the Well's report square that circle? It really doesn't.
www.climateaudit.info/data/football/mcintyre_analysis_of_wells_report.pdf
climateaudit.org/2015/06/23/deflategate-and-errors-in-the-wells-report/
One thing that really stood out to me is that the refs only checked 4 colts balls while checking all 11 patriots balls. The wells report assumed that they checked the Colts balls first but admitted that this was uncertain. That they checked all the patriots balls yet only 4 colts balls suggest that they checked the patriots balls first and ran out of time to check all the colts balls and that the Wells report's assumption about which team was checked first is wrong. This greatly effects the amout of time the colts balls had to warm up increasing their pressure.
Another good point is that the report admits that more than one gauge was used to check the balls at half, each with their own bias, but assumes that only one gauge was used pregame. If we know that more than one gauge was used at half how can we just assume that only one gauge was used pregame? How exactly does the Well's report square that circle? It really doesn't.
