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Post by coachb23 on Jan 2, 2013 18:01:47 GMT -6
I know a lot of people use this cliche, but with the Spread/Air-Raid offenses with all their passing being so popular and more and more games being shootouts, I'm interested in hearing everyone's opinion on this.
Below are the run/pass ratios and results from this years Louisiana state championship games. In all but one classification, the winning team was the team with more rushing yards (and actually the Neville game was extremely close and came down to a costly turnover). But 4 or 5 state champions seems to agree with the phrase of playing great defense and running the football.
What does everybody think?
Rummel (36 for 184 rushing, 11/13 for 193 passing) Barbe (20 for 97 rushing, 13/26 for 167 passing) Rummel 35 – Barbe 14
Karr (25 for 149 rushing, 10/15 for 143 passing) Neville (49 for 230 rushing, 11/19 for 133 passing) Karr 29 – Neville 22
Parkview Baptist (53 for 321 rushing, 5/8 for 95 passing) Notre Dame (30 for 162 rushing, 2/7 for 53 passing) PBS 42 – ND 7
John Curtis (35 for 316 rushing, 3/5 for 48 passing) Evangel (25 for 90 rushing, 22/34 for 199 passing) JC 35 – ECA 13
Ouachita Christian (39 for 238 rushing, 7/15 for 99 passing) Haynesville (39 for 122 rushing, 5/14 for 95 passing) OCS 20 – HHS 8
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Post by emptybackfield on Jan 2, 2013 18:31:57 GMT -6
Well, those statistics certainly support that philosophy. I think it generally rings true for both high school and college football. However the NFL has become such a QB and passing game driven league, you're finding now that the teams that win the whole thing are usually the ones with the hottest passing game.
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Post by 33coach on Jan 2, 2013 19:02:29 GMT -6
Well, those statistics certainly support that philosophy. I think it generally rings true for both high school and college football. However the NFL has become such a QB and passing game driven league, you're finding now that the teams that win the whole thing are usually the ones with the hottest passing game. Yea well, who watches that circus anyway? I say lower your shoulder, get 4 yards and get back to the huddle!!
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Post by coachd5085 on Jan 2, 2013 19:24:37 GMT -6
I know a lot of people use this cliche, but with the Spread/Air-Raid offenses with all their passing being so popular and more and more games being shootouts, I'm interested in hearing everyone's opinion on this. Below are the run/pass ratios and results from this years Louisiana state championship games. In all but one classification, the winning team was the team with more rushing yards (and actually the Neville game was extremely close and came down to a costly turnover). But 4 or 5 state champions seems to agree with the phrase of playing great defense and running the football. What does everybody think? Rummel (36 for 184 rushing, 11/13 for 193 passing) Barbe (20 for 97 rushing, 13/26 for 167 passing) Rummel 35 – Barbe 14 Karr (25 for 149 rushing, 10/15 for 143 passing) Neville (49 for 230 rushing, 11/19 for 133 passing) Karr 29 – Neville 22 Parkview Baptist (53 for 321 rushing, 5/8 for 95 passing) Notre Dame (30 for 162 rushing, 2/7 for 53 passing) PBS 42 – ND 7 John Curtis (35 for 316 rushing, 3/5 for 48 passing) Evangel (25 for 90 rushing, 22/34 for 199 passing) JC 35 – ECA 13 Ouachita Christian (39 for 238 rushing, 7/15 for 99 passing) Haynesville (39 for 122 rushing, 5/14 for 95 passing) OCS 20 – HHS 8 Coach I think what these numbers show is simply the result of the more physically dominant team (more players who are bigger/stronger/faster) winning the game, and as such that team was able to : 1-physically move opponents against their will (run blocking) 2-resist the opponents attempt to move them against their will. I do not think this necessarily reflects a schematic or philosophic superiority, but rather the fact that at the HS level, being the bigger stronger faster kid is more important. When Evangel was at its zenith, they were bigger, stronger, faster...and chose to throw the ball. Destrehan was bigger, stronger, faster...and chose to throw the ball.
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Post by paulsonj72 on Jan 2, 2013 20:58:54 GMT -6
In MN in the semi-finals and finals the team that had the more rushing yards and attempts won 20 of the 21 games so that was true in MN this year.
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Post by tigercoach11 on Jan 2, 2013 21:26:01 GMT -6
I am not saying that throwing the ball cannot win championships because obviously it has been done. I will stand by the fact that consistently playing good d will put you in better position and as a defensive minded coach my number one priority is stopping the run (whether its a spread team or a wing-t team)...I live by the "run the ball play good d" ( we run the DW and play cov.1 most of the time) philosophy and we made state championship game this year (small school in NM) however, I have yet to have been blessed with a QB that is just that good that I trust him to chunk everywhere. maybe if that day comes i will be more open to that idea
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Post by carookie on Jan 2, 2013 21:32:14 GMT -6
First off, could you be putting the cart before the horse? Meaning maybe the teams aren't winning because they are running for more yards, maybe they run for more yards because they are winning. I didnt watch the games, but double digit wins usually means the winning team was running the clock out at the end, and thus rushing for more.
In any case I think running in HS is more viable than in higher leagues for several reasons; not the least of which is discrepancy of talent, and it cuts both ways. Also it is difficult to consistently find, and replacing,very good quarterbacks who year in and year out who can make all the throws, especially for smaller schools.
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Post by Coach Huey on Jan 2, 2013 21:32:57 GMT -6
most high school teams - heck, most college teams - are still on the higher side of 50% run.
when you think of oregon, what do you think of? spread? speed? no huddle? do you think of top 5 rushing team in the country?
when you think of stanford what do you think of? power? ground & pound? do they seem to run the ball more than oregon? do they throw it more than oregon?
i'm not sure what the topic here really is, but the overwhelming # of HS teams - good or bad - will be at least 50% run - with most being closer to 60. so, yes, you must be able to run the ball, I guess. however, it doesn't hurt to be able to throw it when you want to either - hence, many of the teams that can compete on the big levels can throw it effectively, usually upwards of 40%
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Post by Yash on Jan 2, 2013 22:05:01 GMT -6
Even in the NFL, you need some sort of a running game. Lions threw over 700 times this year and were horrible. Calvin Johnson was close to 2000 yards receiving, only 5 TD's.
Most efficient passing games wins in the NFL. Rodgers is middle of the pack in terms of attempts but second in TD's.
6 of top 11 leaders in attempts in NFL aren't in the playoffs. More passing doesn't equal success. More efficient passing equals success.
Think about this at college and high school. If you play good defense you are probably winning more games. If you are winning you are probably running the ball to run clock. If you are winning, other team is probably trying to play catch up and throwing more than they are used to. Hence stats will look skewed in that winning team usually passes less that losing team.
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Post by davishfc on Jan 3, 2013 12:20:20 GMT -6
Has anybody seen a bad predominantly passing team? I mean how bad do you want to get beat?
The running clock for high school football in Michigan begins at the start of the second half with a 35 point deficit.
I can only imagine how many running clock situations those predominantly passing teams would be in if they could not execute. It would extend the game early and their opposition would distance themselves.
Those poor executing passing teams would get beat horribly and then the game would end quickly with a running clock.
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Post by wingt74 on Jan 3, 2013 12:58:46 GMT -6
Great running teams will rarely loose a game against a lesser opponent...and rarely win a game against a superior opponent
Great passing teams will more frequently lose to lesser opponents...but more frequently win against superior oppoenents.
Obviously if you can do both, you can have the best of both worlds.
I believe the main reason HS teams run more than pass is because it's less risky, and they''ll most likely win against a lesser opponent by just shoving it down their throat.
Spread teams and NFL teams have significantly reduced the risk of throwing the ball by throwing extremely high percentage passes...or in the case of NFL teams, just being so vastly superior to their opponent.
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Post by irishdog on Jan 3, 2013 13:13:43 GMT -6
Not a surprise to me. Get the fingers in the turf and get physical!!
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Post by fantom on Jan 3, 2013 13:26:55 GMT -6
Even in the NFL, you need some sort of a running game. Lions threw over 700 times this year and were horrible. Calvin Johnson was close to 2000 yards receiving, only 5 TD's. As a Packers fan I can't tell you how frustrating it is when they can't convert in short yardage or run the ball to finish a game with a lead.
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Post by Chris Clement on Jan 3, 2013 15:44:49 GMT -6
In the NFL the penalties have also changed strategies. A long incompletion with a DPI or a roughing the passer is as good as a completion, and they call those penalties so liberally you may as well take your chances. Conversely hardly any penalties get called on running plays.
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Post by coachd5085 on Jan 3, 2013 18:09:02 GMT -6
In the NFL the penalties have also changed strategies. A long incompletion with a DPI or a roughing the passer is as good as a completion, and they call those penalties so liberally you may as well take your chances. Conversely hardly any penalties get called on running plays. This is a very true point. I think you will see more and more post routes and deep digs, as they are now the football equivalent of "driving the lane and picking up the foul" in basketball.
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Post by 42falcon on Jan 3, 2013 18:26:31 GMT -6
I have been thinking about this since the thread started & I think we need to look deeper than run the ball play great defense to what does this type of philosophy do to the opposition? In theory it should: control ball, increase time of possession, limit turn overs and losses for big yardage (ie: sacks vs a 1 yard run for a loss). This then should leave the opposition with less time to move the ball, or long fields and this also speaks to a more physical in your face style of football which then means you are in theory wearing down the other team. By eating clock you have now shortened games you can close out a half or a game easier.
If this is the case there are plenty of teams doing just this except using the screen game. I think there is more than 1 way to skin a cat here. If your goal is to control the ball / time of possession game and play great defense you can do this by displacing the ball in other ways.
Also comparing the NFL to what most of us coach is like comparing my Jeep to our neighbors Maserati. In HS you still need to be able to pass the ball or atleast have the threat of passing it to some degree. It is interesting we have a school in our area that has a long tradition of winning and people associate them with running the ball all the time. I have a coach on staff who played there in their hayday and his comment to me this year was: "everyone thinks we just ran the ball, but we didn't we ran the ball really well & that forced teams to play the run so hard but we passed a whole bunch but it was all to compliment the run game"
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Post by davishfc on Jan 3, 2013 19:05:11 GMT -6
I think you will see more and more post routes and deep digs, as they are now the football equivalent of "driving the lane and picking up the foul" in basketball. Not a basketball comparison. Nooooo!!!!! Say in ain't so coachd.
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Post by bigm0073 on Jan 3, 2013 20:33:59 GMT -6
Look at Mondays national championship game...
Notre Dame and Alabama...What do you think of? Hard Nose run game and tough defense...
Look at last years Game -Alabama v LSU... Same thing
Year Before Auburn v Oregon - Both teams were tops in the nation that year in running the ball... You call them spread... But they ran the ball..
Not bashing Air Raid 5 wide spread.. But you are not finding those teams in that game.
Like Huey said.. Yeah you run but you also HAVE to throw too. But yes I believe physical football (Running the ball, Stopping the run, creating turnovers, not turning the ball over) will win you a lot more games. In todays game you can do it a lot of different ways..
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Post by davishfc on Jan 3, 2013 21:22:01 GMT -6
Look at Mondays national championship game... Notre Dame and Alabama...What do you think of? Hard Nose run game and tough defense... Look at last years Game -Alabama v LSU... Same thing Year Before Auburn v Oregon - Both teams were tops in the nation that year in running the ball... You call them spread... But they ran the ball.. Not bashing Air Raid 5 wide spread.. But you are not finding those teams in that game. Like Huey said.. Yeah you run but you also HAVE to throw too. But yes I believe physical football (Running the ball, Stopping the run, creating turnovers, not turning the ball over) will win you a lot more games. In todays game you can do it a lot of different ways.. Great post Coach. No matter how those teams chose to do it, they built their offenses around running the football.
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Post by brophy on Jan 4, 2013 8:38:41 GMT -6
But 4 or 5 state champions seems to agree with the phrase of playing great defense and running the football. Rummel Karr Parkview Baptist John Curtis Ouachita Christian win however you can, but these teams dominated through the season because of the manchilds they have on the roster. These statistics would simply be evidence not causational to their W/L. Karr over Neville Win by overcoming your opponent with efficiency...what is the easiest way for your team to remain consistent and not convert downs? More consistent performances are usually the product of execution, which is the product of drilling fundamentals and/or superior athleticism (athleticism can overcome technique). The end of the day is getting in the end zone more than your opponent. Running the ball won't inherently get you in the end zone any faster or better than throwing it. You're making this too simple of an assertion. There isn't any magic here. The challenge becomes, what if you are very conservative on offense and play to win the game on defense? What happens when that one time your opponent scores on your D, how does your defense manufacture a touchdown without a possession? You need an offense that is doing something too. The bottom line is advancing downs against your opponents defense and you can consistently do that running or passing.
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Post by davishfc on Jan 4, 2013 11:37:34 GMT -6
The challenge becomes, what if you are very conservative on offense and play to win the game on defense? I think the misconception here Brophy is nobody, at least the way I understand it, is arguing that they would be conservative on offense. Somehow running the football is inadvertently being labeled as a conservative offensive approach which would then imply that passing is the more aggressive approach. I believe the approach has more to do with the attitude of the unit as opposed to how they choose to establish a level of efficiency. Nobody is expecting to just shorten the game by running the ball hoping for a fumble return for TD or pick 6 by their defense. Maybe I'm misunderstanding the point you're trying to make.
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Post by joelee on Jan 4, 2013 11:42:47 GMT -6
Run the ball, Play great defense AND win the turnover margin.
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Post by fantom on Jan 4, 2013 12:28:16 GMT -6
But 4 or 5 state champions seems to agree with the phrase of playing great defense and running the football. Rummel Karr Parkview Baptist John Curtis Ouachita Christian win however you can, but these teams dominated through the season because of the manchilds they have on the roster. These statistics would simply be evidence not causational to their W/L. Karr over Neville Win by overcoming your opponent with efficiency...what is the easiest way for your team to remain consistent and not convert downs? More consistent performances are usually the product of execution, which is the product of drilling fundamentals and/or superior athleticism (athleticism can overcome technique). The end of the day is getting in the end zone more than your opponent. Running the ball won't inherently get you in the end zone any faster or better than throwing it. You're making this too simple of an assertion. There isn't any magic here. The challenge becomes, what if you are very conservative on offense and play to win the game on defense? What happens when that one time your opponent scores on your D, how does your defense manufacture a touchdown without a possession? You need an offense that is doing something too. The bottom line is advancing downs against your opponents defense and you can consistently do that running or passing. I think Lou Holtz described it best: A good passing game is one where you can throw it when everybody in the stadium knows that you have to; a good running game is one where you can run it when everybody knows you need to. To be effective, you don't have to do it a lot. You just have to be able to do it when you want or need to.
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Post by brophy on Jan 4, 2013 13:18:54 GMT -6
To be effective, you don't have to do it a lot. You just have to be able to do it when you want or need to. that's perfect right there
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Post by davishfc on Jan 4, 2013 14:08:39 GMT -6
To be effective, you don't have to do it a lot. You just have to be able to do it when you want or need to. that's perfect right there Fair enough.
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Post by coachb23 on Jan 4, 2013 23:14:10 GMT -6
I totally agree - and that's where I was trying to get and just did a bad job of expressing it. It just seems that fans what to see shootouts and throwing the ball all over the field and no one playing defense. But history seems to support that running the ball (whether it be Spread, I-formation, Wing-T, etc.) while having the ability to throw when needed, and playing good defense, and I'll add (as suggested) to win the turnover ratio.
Also brophy, I disagree with you about the LA teams having manchildren - Curtis maybe, but I know OCS and Parkview have just you're average kids you'd find anywhere, they're just EXTREMELY well coached and the kids play in the same system from little league to high school. I know little about Rummel. Curtis is Curtis, and Karr is a charter school with a RB that played at 3 schools in a four-year career, so....we won't even go there....
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Post by carookie on Jan 5, 2013 0:02:43 GMT -6
I'll ask again, but I doubt the information is readily available, does anyone have a breakdown of rushing attempts for teams by quarter and score.
I'm not arguing that being able to consistently gain yards and the ground and play great defense won't lead to success. But I know that it at times can be specious reasoning to see that winning teams have more run plays/yards and assume that it was running the ball was the cause for the win. Especially in blowout games, or one where one jumps out to a large lead quickly, the winning team will turn to the run as a means of clock control (conversely the losing team will adopt a more ass heavy offense).
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Post by realdawg on Jan 5, 2013 6:29:08 GMT -6
I think the reason you don't see air raid type teams playing in as many championships has more to do with the fact these teams don't believe they have the personnel to compete and have to do something "different" in order to give themselves a chance. If this is true, then they are already at a disadvantage and that's why they don't win championships. However, Northwestern and Byrnes in SC have recently won rings throwing it all over the place
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Post by groundchuck on Jan 5, 2013 6:42:27 GMT -6
YOu can win a title with any scheme. I think it depends more on the athletes you have and your ability to coach the heck out of the kids.
Now that being said I am a run the ball and play great D style coach. We run the ball 50+ times a game, throw it on average 10x. We control the clock, don't turn it over (we went 17 straight quarters at one point without a turnover) and stay patient. If you are playing great on D you can stay patient. Even if you are not playing great D you can stay patient as long as you are moving the ball and staying ahead of the back stick.
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Post by sweep26 on Jan 5, 2013 11:35:55 GMT -6
As has been stated...teams can be ultra successful with either a dominant rush first offense or a dominant pass first offense. However, without a dominant defense, teams will struggle to win consistently.
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