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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 20:47:56 GMT -6
I would think that the place analytics would be most likely to show up in football would be decisions like when, or how often, to do things like go for two, onside kick, throw deep, 6 man pressure on 3rd down, etc. Those are things that a coach can control in a game situation and that you can actually change. They aren't things like "we'll try to get more explosive plays because the team with the most explosive plays wins X percent of the time." I think people get sideways when they make decisions like "we'll ALWAYS go for 2" or "we'll ALWAYS onside kick" because the numbers say so, because those numbers don't account for a specific game situation that you can encounter. Also, again at the HS level the talent differential makes “game changing” analytics a little less prevalent. For example in MLB the analytics have shown that playing for the home run ball produces more wins and stealing may be a sub optimal strategy. In the NBA the 3 point shot has exploded in its use. The Great Larry Bird sits solidly at the 265th position in 3 pointers made. He attempted an average of less than 1 a game 4 out of 5 of his first years. Contrast that with Steoh curry who currently shoots more than 10 a game
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 15:14:59 GMT -6
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 15:09:06 GMT -6
Once you get the Analytics of what wins football games - The more important question then is HOW, as the coach of my team, can I accomplish those things. Just run 11 personnel like Joe Gibbs
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 14:44:27 GMT -6
Couldn't the same hold true with football though? Poor pad level, rubbish fundamentals, manchild takes handoff...TD and win.
Yes but, IME, it's harder for a football team to win consistently in those scenarios because of the nature/rules of the game. I've watched small-town basketball teams go deep into the state tournament with awful fundamentals; they just rode a couple of kids with some talent. I've rarely seen a football team that can do the same.
No doubt that due to 11 man squads vs 5 man squads, 1 or 2 studs have less of an impact (smaller % of team). And with baseball, you can go far with 1 ace. But with football, a "fundamentally sound" team is probably has to have at least a baseline of athletic ability. Not only that, but how does one become a "fundamentally sound" team. Is there a "no penalty drill?"
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 14:13:54 GMT -6
IMO, if you watched games and charted every mistake (major or minor) that a team committed, you'd have a valid variable. Fundamentally sound teams that don't get penalties win football games, more often than not. That sounds like a fairly obvious statement and the same can be said for all team sports. But, because of the large number of players on the field, it holds especially true with football. I've watched some basketball teams that were terrible in almost all aspects of the game. But, they had one or two kids who could shoot the lights out and they won games. I've watched some baseball teams who's play in the field was terrible as well; poor pitching and error after error. But, they won games because they had guys who could put people on base. And, that is why I love football. Regardless of talent level, a team can win games a punch a -little- above their weight if they're disciplined and fundamentally sound. Couldn't the same hold true with football though? Poor pad level, rubbish fundamentals, manchild takes handoff...TD and win.
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 13:03:03 GMT -6
I don't see the need to apply Moneyball analytics to football... 1. If they turn the ball over more than you, you'll probably win. 2. If you have more big plays then they do, you'll probably win. 3. If you convert more third downs than they do, you'll probably win. The rest of the metrics are either "Duh..." or inconsequential. My point when discussing analytics is always : "What will you CHANGE based on what you will learn". "Last year when the opposition threw the ball our DBs would knock it down. After seeing that having more turnovers than our opponents is correlated with winning, this year we are going to coach the DBs to catch it...." Sure, a bit tongue in cheek, but the idea still remains. Looking at stats/analytics/data can be interesting but I will be honest, if it doesn't lead to a change in behavior, I would probably find other things more interesting to do in my spare time.
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 10:06:25 GMT -6
Walk this back and ask yourself two questions: 1. Do you have a guy that can coach up the option reads and backfield technique? 2. Do you have a competent OL coach? This has been my personal conundrum when trying to install triple option. I was the sole coach on staff that could handle the OL and coach the backfield. Hence why we're Wing-T and not SBV or Flexbone. The assisting staff members just didn't have the experience to handle those positions. Good coaches and good people but just not ready to take over those roles. I would echo this here. Installing Navy/Flexbone because you have "been wanting to run the triple"/"fell in love with the triple watching army/navy" doesn't seem like the best avenue to success. From the tone of your posts, I can't really tell if you have ever been in a flexbone system before as a coach. Have you?
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 9:10:09 GMT -6
Im wanting to look over any stats pertaining to win percentage im just trying to see which elements of the game have significant effect on the outcome, but im not sure entirely where to find these stats. I did a basic google search and found a couple things, but if you know where i can find others please let me know Getting back to the direction I think the OP wanted this thread to go in- there are several threads on huey that discuss analytics. Invariably, these threads start to point out that analytics for FB are tougher due to the dynamic interaction of the variables. Another issue with analytics and football is football has fewer games or discrete trials. Its one thing in Major League Baseball to say “if we do this - it will be successful 57% of the time and we will have 1000 opportunities this season...” football is a bit different In HS this is further exacerbated by the talent disparity between those variables (players). An easy example that I remember was silkyice showing how one year trap was his biggest “explosive” play- because they were handing off to a kid who would be playing in the SEC the following fall.
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 23, 2020 6:26:59 GMT -6
At the HS level I would bet sizable amounts of money that the analytics most associated with winning percentage are squat,bench,clean, and deadlift weights. I would say the most important is how big is your mom? how big is your dad? were they athletes? Understand the point but not sure I would subscribe to it. I think you can manufacture team wins and success in high school through the weight room. A good example would be @delta19 ‘s son “little delta” Obviously 11 “weight room guys” probably wont beat 11 genetic lottery winners - but in the real world I think you can create those guys at a much higher rate than you happen to get lottery winners on the team Now if the question was analytics that correlate with individual success and playing beyond HS ball, then the genetics would be key
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 22, 2020 22:15:32 GMT -6
Im wanting to look over any stats pertaining to win percentage im just trying to see which elements of the game have significant effect on the outcome, but im not sure entirely where to find these stats. I did a basic google search and found a couple things, but if you know where i can find others please let me know At the HS level I would bet sizable amounts of money that the analytics most associated with winning percentage are squat,bench,clean, and deadlift weights.
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 20, 2020 19:20:50 GMT -6
Having read these stories (and others) and following Louisiana football I am a little disappointed that so many organizations didn't turn the calendar back a century or so and handle this situation differently. Instead of trying to follow a structured season which feeds into playoffs etc, I think this might have been a time to get very individualized. "Hey, Jefferson High ? This is Washington High . We have some boys that are interested in football and formed a team. We heard you had a team too, would you be interested in playing in a week or two? Great. See you then" I think this has actually happened quite a bit in multiple states when teams have lost an opponent to quarantine. They just look and see who else lost and opponent and make it work. Yes, I have seen this from week to week. I just meant that the idea of trying to "be normal" so that there can be playoffs and a championship seems short sighted to me.
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 20, 2020 11:42:15 GMT -6
Having read these stories (and others) and following Louisiana football I am a little disappointed that so many organizations didn't turn the calendar back a century or so and handle this situation differently. Instead of trying to follow a structured season which feeds into playoffs etc, I think this might have been a time to get very individualized. "Hey, Jefferson High ? This is Washington High . We have some boys that are interested in football and formed a team. We heard you had a team too, would you be interested in playing in a week or two? Great. See you then"
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 10, 2020 6:09:16 GMT -6
first off this is an excellent list. Secondly, do that many schools really require a HC to retain the current staff. I've seen multiple stories on Huey of other coaches saying the same. That seems crazy to me that a school would hire a HC, then require them to retain some or all of the previous staff. It just hasn't been my experience with the schools I'm not sure what options one would have to replace the staff in a situation similar to the one I described, but if humanly possible, I'd imagine I'd likely want to replace a large majority of previous staff. In my experience, schools probably would not force a new HC to use any previous coaches on his staff. That said, the vast majority of schools also are not going to (or can't) dismiss current faculty/staff to create positions for new football coaches. So depending on the situation, you may be forced with either the guys on hand, or nobody.
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 9, 2020 17:24:48 GMT -6
Just be aware, that in a 30 year period, you may not be the first, or second, or third, or fourth, or fifth, or sixth or even seventh coach who took over the program who believed the same. The key will be to investigate WHY previous coaches have not been able to do those things. It may not be something under your control. There is a reason why Nick Saban took the Alabama Tuscaloosa job in 2007, not the Alabama Birmingham one that year. I get it. I realize that there are a lot of other factors that contribute to the success. I feel like some of these questions can be answered during an interview. I know some day to talk to the previous coach, but other than those, I'm not sure how else to find out the why. I dont know how to find out either. That could be why there are programs nationwide that are perpetually losing
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Post by coachd5085 on Oct 8, 2020 15:28:31 GMT -6
I've not been a HC for a rebuilding program. I have been a AC in a rebuilding program and have had some success. Your situation is a situation that I know I will be in sooner rather than later and something I've thought long and hard about. I'm going to risk sounding like an assh*le in my response and I want you to know that it is not my intention. In your OP you make it sounds like you want to take over that program because you can make them winners due to a favorable circumstance surrounding them. Thirty years of losing is not just a habit, it's a culture. So you have to be really honest with yourself in WHY you want to take them over. To bring glory to your name, or to serve those students? I believe that winning is a byproduct of what happens outside of Friday night's. Coaches on here have already mentioned all the pitfalls and obstacles. With 30 years of history not on their side, it's a generational mindset that needs to change with the surrounding community. It can be done, but why do you want to do it? How would you define success? Wins? D1 scholarships? Team GPA? No unexcused absences? No suspensions? We always have players in our program that need football more than football needs them. They need the structure and accountability to stay above water in the classroom. You might have a program full of those types. Again, I apologize if I sound like a jerk. No need to apologize, it's a fair question, perhaps even an interview question. Yes, I think their conference gives them a better chance to be successful on the field. I feel that some schools are in conferences that they simply can't compete in, I do not feel like this is the case here What are the reasons I want to coach at a school like this? There are a lot, but first is because I think the players deserve better. I feel sorry for a group of kids who week after week have a running clock in the second half. That every away game is the other teams homecoming. How demoralizing must that be for players who work hard all summer/ fall. Hard for them to believe if you work hard, you'll be successful. I feel bad for the town. I coached against them in sectionals a few years back. Considering their history, they had a lot more fans there than you would have thought. In a town where there isn't a lot of good things happening, wouldn't be great if they had something to be proud of? How would I define success? I think at the end of the day everyone is always judged by wins. However, especially in a program like that, in order to be successful in the field, you have to be successful off the field first. You have to create that discipline in the classroom both academically and behavior. Attendance in the weight room and practice. Performing community service. I believe teams beginning by trying to build success on the field first. I believe successful PROGRAMS build success off the field first.
SO... With that being said, I feel like being competitive on the field would be a success. What does that look like win wise? Maybe some years that is 8 wins, some years it's 4. Them becoming better young men and making them competitive on the field would be a success to me. Just be aware, that in a 30 year period, you may not be the first, or second, or third, or fourth, or fifth, or sixth or even seventh coach who took over the program who believed the same. The key will be to investigate WHY previous coaches have not been able to do those things. It may not be something under your control. There is a reason why Nick Saban took the Alabama Tuscaloosa job in 2007, not the Alabama Birmingham one that year.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 29, 2020 6:03:13 GMT -6
Some things to consider digging up info on......maybe talk to one of the HCs that filled through there? -admin support? -weight room experience? You want to know before you go in if the AD is also the baseball coach and tells all the athletes to do fall ball......or if the school board is a pain, etc You also want to know what type of culture you have weight room wise......this is your quickest path to success. And given the fact that the school has not been successful for 3 decades, chances are there is atleast one if not several community/school base issues that a HC can not correct. vicvinegar Allow me to echo some of the more negative based ideas put forth here : 1) Chances are very high that the schools record is not just a product of the school "not doing this", but rather a complex issue with many intertwined factors. For example there may be no weight room program, BECAUSE the coaches are required to coach multiple sports and there is no one to run the program. This may require an integrated S&C policy that the school just can't facilitate. 2) Chances are fairly high that the community as a whole would not be classified as "winners" who understand the process, respect hard work and self discipline and how they lead to results etc, but rather are blamers who shirk accountability and will not allow their children to be held accountable. They believe football success comes from playcalling.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 29, 2020 5:45:19 GMT -6
I hate 7 on 7. I am an offensive line guy and a defensive coordinator...BUT our coverages have been sloppier this year and I think a little bit of that is that our mistakes weren't exposed and corrected as well without passing league. I still think the world and my summer would be better off without it, but I also must admit our coverages are a little bit better with it. I think most of the "hate" directed towards 7 on 7 derives from the adjustments made to bring success in 7 on 7 that are detrimental to players in 11 on 11 tackle football. I have often posted that scripted and controlled pass skell work with other schools is a very desirable and beneficial thing. 7 on 7 competitions with a scoreboard generally are not.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 20, 2020 19:50:25 GMT -6
To just present a differing viewpoint, I wonder if this quest for trying to infuse glitz and glam into youth ball is impacting participation rates at the HS level. I have seen numerous kids that I teach (k-5th grade) spend countless weekends playing travel baseball with expensive multiple uniforms, matching bat bag and other accessories etc. and posing with "rings" and bringing them to show me. Only a handful actually played through their 4 years of HS baseball. Quite frankly, it just didn't seem as exciting to them, particularly having to slog it out in Frosh and Jv Ball, which after all the parentally created glamour of travel ball when they were kids. That said, I am not one that believes the purpose of youth ball (particularly under 12 years of age) is prepare kids for HS ball any more than the purpose of HS ball is to prepare kids for college ball, or the job of college coaches is to get the players ready for the NFL. agree on the phony rings and glitz... hilarious watching an incomeing freshman walking into highschool with the swagger of a superbowl champ when in reality they were on a STACKED team that just out muscled the rest of their league. def can ruin a kid for life if you don't humble them quickly i.e.: "coach don't know what he's talking about I scored 38 TDs in 8th grade" ... we made damn sure to humble them real quick on JV. by game 2 the bright one's realize that there are more kids at their skill/talent level on the other sideline then ours. But does the humbling process also lead to the attrition of numbers. And not just because of a realization of talent equivalency, or the undeserved swagger but also because Freshman ball doesn't have much sizzle. No run throughs, no real crowd, music etc. It is just pure competition.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 20, 2020 14:49:51 GMT -6
My opinion, I do not like football for kids prior to Junior High. We got rid of it and our program got better and numbers went up. Everyone says you have to have good coaches, but even them I am not sure it matters. Soccer and flag football are much better for development of the child at those ages, as they have to learn to correctly move around. Just my two cents, I know most on here will disagree but that's fine because it works for us. I agree. I think that kids that age should be playing Calvinball, making up their own rules and figuring things out for themselves. Do you hold that same belief for other sports? So no organized sports until age 12/13?
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 19, 2020 14:48:27 GMT -6
*Allegedly* (we still do not have enough data to say one way or the other), a player being involved in repeated collisions in football can contribute to the player developing CTE. *Allegedly*, the collisions that can contribute to a player developing CTE include not just those that are a part of a tackle (that's what most people have been hung up on, and think of when they think of the CTE issue), but also those which are a part of offensive blockers engaging defenders, and especially collisions between offensive and defensive players in the trenches. 3 questions for you all; try to answer them the best you can with the understanding that A) we are working with limited scientific data, B) you are not medical experts (unless otherwise noted), and C) you are NOT offering advice or instruction in any way, but are just giving what you think is your best answers to these questions Question 1) At the high school level, do you think that any collisions that happen during pass blocking (EXCLUDING play action blocking [as that is usually run blocking], blocking schemes which are a part of plays that move the QB outside the pocket, and screen plays, and INCLUDING draw blocking) on a regular basis are severe enough to contribute to players developing CTE? Question 2) At the high school level, do you think that collisions that happen during blocking, that involve players on the move for a significant amount of time before engaging in the block (such as a lineman pulling to block the "sidewalk", "alley", or "wall", a back running from the backfield to the perimeter to block a defender, a receiver running downfield and blocking a defender after a forward pass is thrown, etc), on a regular basis are severe enough to contribute to players developing CTE? Question 3) At the high school level, do you think that collisions that happen during blocking without offensive blockers gaining much speed (such as perimeter run blocking, blocking a corner on a screen, etc) on a regular basis are severe enough to contribute to players developing CTE? Keep in mind that with the three above questions, I am asking about this concerning not just the offensive players initiating and making the block, but also the defensive players that the offensive players are attempting to block. I think you are trying to view this as is there is a magical bright line level that is safe, and that simply isn't going to be the case. Rattling the brain is not a good thing. That is all that we can be almost certain off. With regards to football and CTE I think an analogy can be made to nutrition and the standard American Diet. If Americans started to eat whole food plant based diets at the conclusion of HS, I am fairly certain that the incidences of coronary artery disease, Type II diabetes and hypertension would be far less prevalent later in life just as the incidences of CTE in men who stopped playing football at the HS age or lower appear to be far lower than those whose who continue their participation in the sport. Essentially, eating whoppers and fries 2 to 3 times a week during your teen years and stopping at 18 has a much lower likelyhood of leading to health issues than continuing to do so until you are 35. So with that in mind to answer your questions : 1) If pass protection is executed correctly, there is less brain rattling. That combined with the beliefs expressed above probably point it being a minimally risky behavior if stopped at the age of 17/18. 2) Increased force at collision would lead to more brain rattling. So that behavior is probably more risky than pass protection, however again it seems that if such collisions stop relatively early in life, the risk seems to be minimal. 3) Blocks with minimal force due to lack of speed and that do not involve contact to the head probably present minimal risk, particularly if the activity stops at an earlier point in life.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 19, 2020 9:34:38 GMT -6
To just present a differing viewpoint, I wonder if this quest for trying to infuse glitz and glam into youth ball is impacting participation rates at the HS level. I have seen numerous kids that I teach (k-5th grade) spend countless weekends playing travel baseball with expensive multiple uniforms, matching bat bag and other accessories etc. and posing with "rings" and bringing them to show me. Only a handful actually played through their 4 years of HS baseball. Quite frankly, it just didn't seem as exciting to them, particularly having to slog it out in Frosh and Jv Ball, which after all the parentally created glamour of travel ball when they were kids.
That said, I am not one that believes the purpose of youth ball (particularly under 12 years of age) is prepare kids for HS ball any more than the purpose of HS ball is to prepare kids for college ball, or the job of college coaches is to get the players ready for the NFL.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 19, 2020 7:36:35 GMT -6
As an assistant, I always asked to do the majority of it too. But a big part of it is I know I will get it done right and on time. I hate waiting for others who can't get their stuff done on time or correctly. I like doing my own cards cause it makes me feel better that we are lining up right and able to fit everything correctly. It’s a just in case but over the years as I’ve drawn stuff up I have seen something that lead to an adjustment. Thats why I think all of the coaches should draw up cards..it is probably the best way to learn the ins and outs of your defense. I am constantly surprised by the numerous threads here with coaches looking for short cuts or ways around doing what I consider to be a critical part of the learning process. Drawing up cards, with all 22 players, and all motions, shifts and the corresponding adjustments is a great way for newer coaches to learn the scheme, as well as point out potential issues like Defcord mentions.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 15, 2020 16:10:15 GMT -6
Some may, but keep in mind Bob, that your coaching experience (seemingly somewhat relaxed youth ball or other recreational football ) is vastly different than what the majority here coach. Considering the thread topic is about having "too many" coaches, why would anyone in that situation do something as seemingly inefficient as having the entire team do something at the same time in mass? Good point. Even when I went to high school, we had only about 4 football coaches. Even with 4 coaches, I can't think of a reason where all players are performing the same skill and all coaches are watching the group as a whole. That does not seem to be the most efficient or best practice.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 14, 2020 18:26:56 GMT -6
Don't any of you have any drills where you have everyone on the team practice the same skill? Some may, but keep in mind Bob, that your coaching experience (seemingly somewhat relaxed youth ball or other recreational football ) is vastly different than what the majority here coach. Considering the thread topic is about having "too many" coaches, why would anyone in that situation do something as seemingly inefficient as having the entire team do something at the same time in mass?
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 13, 2020 14:09:10 GMT -6
It's pretty simple: each assistant coaches their position and their position alone. You keep your mouth shut if its not your position. The coordinators and head coach each position as they see fit. We have a lot of drills that aren't about a single position. The whole team is there and so are all the coaches. Should there be a coach designated to give all the feedback to every player there? Generally in an organized football operation, in that type of drill set up, the coaches are watching their assigned players. It is very unlikely in a snap second that someone with dual responsibilities (coordinator, HC) will see something a position coach also sees but simultaneous give conflicting feedback. And in the event that happens, it would only be a short bit, because the position coach should defer to the coordinator/head coach on the field. Regardless, it is not a best practice to stop practice and give tons of feedback at the juncture anyway. Note the mistake/confusion, move on to the next rep, and clean up stuff later. If your team is organized so that any coach speaks to any player in any setting, I don't think it will be a very successful endeavor in most cases.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 6, 2020 13:03:29 GMT -6
Sam Gilbert and Illegal recruitment of players by UCLA had a lot more to do with those wins and titles than the graphic organizer you mentioned. Also, your beloved Bob Knight did not respect Wooden very much, must be tough for you to reconcile that As usual, your post has NOTHING to do with the OP! As to Bobby Knight: I detect a LOT of jealousy from you: 1. Is YOUR net worth over 15 Million? Knight's IS. 2. Did ANYONE ever call YOU the best coach EVER in your sport (on your level)? Wooden said THAT of Knight! I'm sure the answer to BOTH of those questions is "why SH**T NO"!!! You shouldn't be critical of those who are CLEARLY SUPERIOR to you! Never forget what Knight said: "LOSERS WILL NEVER UNDERSTAND WINNERS". ? Jealous? How do you detect that? There was nothing derogatory towards Knight at all. It highlighted the fact that Bobby Knight stated publicly that he did not respect John Wooden's character and how Wooden won those championships with players who were illegally recruited. How is that critical of Knight? Sadly, you continue your streak of never seeming to understand what the hell is being said.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 6, 2020 10:14:56 GMT -6
Just constantly remind them of what John Wooden preached (nothing more, or nothing less) = “Success is peace of mind, which is a direct result of self-satisfaction in knowing you made the effort to become the best of which you are capable.” Next - teach them the building blocks of Coach Wooden's "Pyramid of Success" (you can find it on Amazon.com): The Pyramid of Success The Pyramid of Success is a roadmap to successful behaviors. It was developed by Coach Wooden, who used the Pyramid to train and develop the UCLA men's basketball teams that won 10 NCAA Championships in 12 years (1964-1975). In 1934, Wooden started by creating the “Definition of Success.” He continued with the development of the Pyramid to define how to achieve that success. Coach Wooden worked on the Pyramid for 15 years, defining the 14 blocks of the Pyramid below the 15th, which was defined as Competitive Greatness. Later Coach Wooden added "The Mortar," which are 10 blocks along the sides that hold the Pyramid together. Today the Pyramid of Success is used by schools, teams, families, and corporations. Sam Gilbert and Illegal recruitment of players by UCLA had a lot more to do with those wins and titles than the graphic organizer you mentioned. Also, your beloved Bob Knight did not respect Wooden very much, must be tough for you to reconcile that
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 5, 2020 13:47:46 GMT -6
How do you tell them they are really bad? How do you tell them they're good without going over the top? I don't think you do either of those things. I think you concentrate on tangible criticisms and praise. I think that falls into the "growth mindset", but is far from all rosie and rainbows. Telling someone they are "bad" is abstract and can't really be corrected. It is also a relative description. Think how many "bad" football players are cut from the NFL to make it to the 53 man roster. Now how many of them were one of if not the "best" players that their respective HS players ever coached? The "Bad" players that Andy Reid coaches are some of the most phenomenal players in the history of their high schools. I think you instead point out concrete mistakes and flaws and provide a plan to improve them. I would be willing to bet a substantial chunk of change that "really bad" teams have weak squats, weak cleans, weak presses, high pad level, and a poor understanding of what working hard really is. Point those out and explain how those issues can be fixed.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 5, 2020 11:13:29 GMT -6
That's not what they said at all. That's how it was interpreted by people who want to see it that way. They have essentially said that if you have don't have 2+ comorbidities that your chance of dying is 6%. And they really don't have any idea what the chances are that you'll catch it in the first place. The incidence of children without underlying health conditions dying from it is virtually zero. But our clown of a governor has placed significant restrictions such that most schools must be remote. The restrictions are going to be vastly more destructive to children than catching the actual virus. The restrictions are not just for individual health concerns and preventing children from catching a virus, but for public health issues and preventing transmissions. If you think about it, schools are one of the largest sites of large groups congregated for extended periods of time. So it seems to be a spot where transmission and spread to run rampant and grow in the community. So that, combined with : 1) a large portion of the American population do indeed with those health issues and 2) a small percentage of a large number is still a relatively large number means that it isn't as cut and dry as some think. It is much more complex and layered. Also keep in mind that it isn't just about death. My 35 year old principal with no underlying conditions still requires oxygen therapy and has already missed a few days because humidity made it to hard for her to leave the house. This is 8 or so weeks post "recovery". Who knows how this will affect her moving forward? That said the world can not bubblewrap itself either.
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Post by coachd5085 on Sept 5, 2020 10:08:09 GMT -6
Washington state. 1st practice: February 17th. First game: March 5th 6 game regular season. Committee will choose 8 teams for the playoffs. My understanding is that teams that don't make the playoffs will be able to find games and keep playing if they want. There's a two-week overlap with spring sports at the end, so I'm not sure how many will take advantage of that. I'm 60/40 that we'll actually play even in February. A lot of "erring on the side of caution" here. Louisiana's association has received a great deal of scrutiny and backlash, particularly given that a great deal of the southeast, including adjacent states TX and MS are actually playing games. Even the state legislature got involved, resulting in the association giving a firm start date as opposed to waiting on the Governor. However, the Mayor of New Orleans seems to disagree and has insinuated that she will not allow it (not sure how any of this goes legally or jurisdictionally at this point). One NOLA private school coach was interviewed and regarding the mayor's comments he said that he is already looking into arrangements to practice and play in neighboring municipalities.
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